Feltham and Heston By-Election: Big Labour Majority Expected But Race For Third Remains Tight.
December 12, 2011
Between the 7th and 9th of December, Survation interviewed 511 constituents ahead of the Feltham and Heston by-election (Thursday).
The poll indicates that, as expected, Labour are in prime position to retain the seat following the death of Alan Keen MP. 53% of constituents inclined they were to vote Labour in the election, with the Conservatives gaining 29% of popular support. The most interesting aspect of the poll comes with the news that UKIP and the Liberal Democrats tied in third, both polling at 7%, with Liberal Democrat support halved since the previous general election. A third of polling took place following David Cameron’s rejection of amendments to the Lisbon Treaty.
The key points from the survey revealed:
- A rise in support for Labour of 10% since the 2010 General Election, indicating a comfortable Labour hold in the by-election. This rise in support falls in line with the overall national swing in the polls towards Labour since 2010 .
- A drop in Liberal Democrat support of 7%, down from 14% in 2010.
- A rise in voters showing support for UKIP, up to 7% from 2% in the previous election.
Our friends at Britain Votes have their own take here;