Labour Party now polling 5% ahead of Conservatives. Public Say Theresa May Should Resign 49 to 38%
- 65% of all EU Referendum voters stating a view believe Theresa May need not be PM when EU negotiations are complete – 45% of Leave voters and 67% of remain voters.
- Boris Johnson most popular choice for next leader of Conservative party
- Public opinion little changed on EU Referendum voting intention
- Public believe Brexit negotiations should not be delayed by 65% to 25%
- Only 36% of public agree PM is “strong and stable leader”
- Only 33% of public approve of Theresa May’s DUP deal
Research was conducted online with a sample of 1,036 UK Adults aged 18+.
Fieldwork 10th June 2017.
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Data tables are available here:
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| State of the Parties | 2017 vote share | Current Voting Intention | Change vs election |
| CON – 39% (-4) | 42.45% | 38.94% | -3.51% |
| LAB – 45% (+5) | 39.99% | 44.84% | +4.85% |
| LD – 7% (nc) | 7.37% | 7.25% | -0.12% |
| UKIP- 3% (+1) | 1.84% | 3.32% | +1.47% |
| Others – 6% (-3) | 8.35% | 5.53% | -2.82% |
EU Referendum II? – Voting Intention Ex Undecided
Leave 49%
Remain 51%
| Which of the following is closest to your view? | All | CON | LAB | LEAVE | REMAIN |
| Following the General Election result, Theresa May should resign as Prime Minister | 49% | 24% | 77% | 40% | 61% |
| Following the General Election result, Theresa May should not resign as Prime Minister | 38% | 66% | 17% | 49% | 30% |
| Don’t know | 13% | 11% | 6% | 11% | 9% |
| If Theresa May were to resign as Prime Minister, when do you think it would be best for her to resign? | All | CON | LAB | LEAVE | REMAIN |
| Immediately | 41% | 20% | 63% | 33% | 48% |
| Within the next 6 months | 20% | 16% | 22% | 16% | 27% |
| After negotiating Brexit | 23% | 41% | 10% | 35% | 14% |
| None of these | 8% | 17% | 1% | 10% | 8% |
| Don’t know | 8% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 5% |
| If Theresa May were to resign as Leader of the Conservative Party, which of the following politicians would you most like to replace her? | All | CON | LAB |
| Boris Johnson | 26% | 34% | 25% |
| David Davis | 9% | 14% | 5% |
| Michael Gove | 4% | 3% | 6% |
| Amber Rudd | 8% | 9% | 7% |
| Philip Hammond | 10% | 9% | 11% |
| Don’t know | 43% | 32% | 47% |
| If each of the following was Leader of the Conservative Party, would they make you more, less, or no more likely to vote Conservative at the next election? (All) | More likely | Less likely | No more or less likely |
| Boris Johnson | 23% | 31% | 36% |
| David Davis | 14% | 21% | 50% |
| Michael Gove | 11% | 33% | 44% |
| Amber Rudd | 13% | 26% | 48% |
| Philip Hammond | 15% | 23% | 48% |
| If each of the following was Leader of the Conservative Party, would they make you more, less, or no more likely to vote Conservative at the next election? [CON VOTERS ONLY] | More likely | Less likely | No more or less likely | DK |
| Boris Johnson | 30% | 23% | 42% | 5% |
| David Davis | 20% | 13% | 57% | 10% |
| Michael Gove | 13% | 32% | 49% | 6% |
| Amber Rudd | 16% | 22% | 54% | 9% |
| Philip Hammond | 17% | 19% | 56% | 8% |
| If each of the following was Leader of the Conservative Party, would they make you more, less, or no more likely to vote Conservative at the next election? [LAB VOTERS ONLY] | More likely | Less likely | No more or less likely | DK |
| Boris Johnson | 17% | 39% | 36% | 8% |
| David Davis | 7% | 29% | 50% | 14% |
| Michael Gove | 8% | 36% | 48% | 8% |
| Amber Rudd | 11% | 32% | 48% | 9% |
| Philip Hammond | 13% | 26% | 49% | 12% |
| Which of the following do you think is the biggest reason more people than expected chose not to vote for Theresa May? | All Voters |
| The “dementia tax” policy | 27% |
| Scrapping free school lunches | 9% |
| Her stance on Brexit | 11% |
| Her performance as leader | 24% |
| Failing to take part in televised debates | 18% |
| Don’t know | 12% |
| Which of the following do you think is the biggest reason more people than expected chose to vote for Jeremy Corbyn? | (All) |
| Scrapping tuition fees | 35% |
| Rail nationalisation | 4% |
| His performance as leader | 22% |
| The arrogance of the Conservatives | 30% |
| Don’t know | 10% |
Do you agree or disagree with Theresa May’s decision to call an early General Election?
Agree- 38%
Disagree – 45%
Don’t know – 17%
Regardless of how you voted in the election, which of the following party leaders do you think had the best campaign?
Jeremy Corbyn – 67%
Theresa May – 16%
Don’t know – 17%
Do you agree or disagree with the following statement?
“Theresa May is a strong and stable leader”
Disagree 50%
Don’t know 15%
Agree 36%
| Which of the following issues best reflects the reason why you changed your mind? | All | CON | LAB |
| Social Care policy | 12% | 9% | 14% |
| Response to / Policies on terrorism | 10% | 14% | 10% |
| Position on Brexit | 13% | 20% | 6% |
| Economic policy | 9% | 11% | 9% |
| School funding policy | 10% | 4% | 16% |
| Tuition fees | 10% | 7% | 8% |
| The performances of the leader | 21% | 13% | 25% |
| Other (please state) | 13% | 19% | 10% |
| Don’t know | 3% | 4% | 2% |
Which of the following is closest to your view?
There should be a second referendum on the UK’s membership of the European Union – 36%
There should not be a second referendum on the UK’s membership of the European Union – 55%
Don’t know – 9%
In light of the General Election result, which of the following do you prefer?
A “hard” Brexit, involving leaving the EU single market and customs union – 36%
A “soft” Brexit, not involving leaving the EU single market and customs union -47%
Don’t know – 17%
In light of the General Election result, which of the following is closest to your view?
Brexit negotiations will be completed by the deadline of March 2019 – 38%
Brexit negotiations will not be completed by the deadline of March 2019 – 46%
Don’t know 16%
Brexit negotiations are due to begin on June 19th. In light of the General Election result, which of the following is closest to your view?
The Brexit negotiations should be delayed – 25%
The Brexit negotiations should not be delayed – 65%
Don’t know – 10%
In light of the General Election result, which of the following is closest to your view?
There should be another General Election this year – 40%
There should not be another General Election this year – 49%
Don’t know – 11%
If there was to be another general election this year, regardless of how you might vote, who do you think would win?
Conservatives 33%
Labour – 45%
Another party – 3%
Don’t know – 18%
In the General Election, the SNP lost 21 seats while the Conservatives gained 12 in Scotland.
Do you think that this makes a second Scottish Independence Referendum…?
More likely – 15%
Less likely – 55%
No more or less likely- 17%
Don’t know – 13%
Do you approve or disapprove of Theresa May’s decision to govern with agreed support from the Democratic Unionist Party?
Approve – 33%
Disapprove – 47%
Don’t know – 20%
| Potential coalition governments? | Approve | Disapprove | Don’t know |
Conservatives + DUP
| 35% | 49% | 17% |
| Labour + Liberal Democrats + SNP + Green | 39% | 47% | 15% |
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