Politics, Government & Current Affairs

New Scotland referendum and voting intention poll by Survation

Survation’s most recent poll of Scottish residents on behalf of the Daily Record are published today.

Headline figures

  • ‘No’ campaign retains 10 point lead over ‘Yes’, with no change since last month’s omnibus poll

  • SNP continue to lead in parliamentary voting intention

  • European Parliament: We project 3 seats for the SNP – a 1 seat gain from 2009
  • 36% of Scots say the thought of Alex Salmond being the first Prime Minister of Scotland makes them more likely to vote No in the independence referendum

 

Changes since our April Scotland poll are shown in brackets.

Independence Referendum

Yes – 37% (NC)

No – 47% (NC)

Undecided – 17%  (+ 1%)

 

Scottish parliament – constituency vote

SNP – 36% (- 2%)

LAB – 26% (- 1%)

CON – 13% (+ 1%)

LD – 4% (- 1%)

Another party (net) – 4% (NC)

Undecided – 16% (+ 2%)

Refused – 1% (NC)

 

Scottish parliament – constituency vote (excl. refused and undecided)

SNP – 44% (- 1%)

LAB – 32% (NC)

CON – 15% (+ 2%)

LD – 5% (- 1%)

Another party (net) – 4% (+ 1%)

 

Scottish parliament – regional list vote

SNP – 31% (- 1%)

LAB – 21% (+ 1%)

CON – 9% (- 1%)

LD – 5% (-2%)

Scottish Green Party – 7% (+ 1%)

UKIP – 6% (+ 3%)

Another party (net) – 1% (NC)

Undecided – 18% (-1%)

Refused – 2% (+ 1%)

 

Scottish parliament – regional list vote (excl. refused and undecided)

SNP – 39% (-2%)

LAB – 26% (+ 1%)

CON – 11% (- 1%)

LD – 6% (- 3%)

Scottish Green Party – 9% (+ 1%)

UKIP – 7% (+ 3%)

Another party (net) – 1% (-1%)

 

Westminster

SNP – 31% (- 3%)

LAB – 29% (NC)

CON – 15% (+ 2%)

LD – 4% (- 1%)

Another party (net) – 5% (+ 1%)

Undecided – 15% (NC)

Refused – 1% (+ 1%)

 

Westminster (excl. refused and undecided)

SNP – 37% (- 3%)

LAB – 35% (NC)

CON – 18 (+ 3%)

LD – 5% (- 1%)

Another party (net) – 6% (+1%)

 

European Parliament

LAB – 22% (- 2%)

CON – 11% (NC)

SNP – 31% (- 1%)

LD – 5% (+ 1%)

UKIP – 9% (+ 3%)

Green – 5% (+ 2%)

BNP – 0% (NC)

Another Party  – 0% (NC)

Don’t know – 15% (- 2%)

Refused – 1% (NC)

 

European Parliament (excl. refused and undecided)

LAB – 26% (- 3%)

CON – 13% (NC)

SNP – 37% (- 2%)

LD – 6% (+ 1%)

UKIP – 10% (+ 3%)

Green – 6% (+ 3%)

BNP – 1% (NC)

Another Party – 1% (NC)

 

Seat Projection (with change from current number of seats):

SNP – 3 (+ 1)

LAB – 2 (NC)

CON – 1 (NC)

UKIP – 0 (NC)

LD – 0 (- 1)

Green – 0 (NC)

 

Survation is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. Tables are available here.

 


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