Our second telephone poll since the UK’s renegotiation with EU member countries ahead of the June 23^rd EU referendum shows Remain continuing to lead Leave. While support for “Leave” has risen 2 per cent since our last poll on February 20th, Remain currently stands 11 points ahead.

Survation polled 1,006 adults 18+ across the UK by telephone from 17th-19th March 2016 on the question;

Imagine there was a referendum tomorrow with the question “Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?” How would you vote?

Results, with changes from the previous Survation poll (20/02) in brackets, were:

Leave 35% (+2)
Remain 46% (-2)
Undecided 19% (nc)

Difference between Remain and Leave: 11% (-4)

Ex Undecided voters the headline results are:

Remain 57% (-2)
Leave 43% (+2)

Undecided Voters

Voters in the sample who initially told Survation they were undecided in the EU referendum were then “squeezed” with the question; “If the referendum were today and you had to choose, would vote to leave / vote to stay?

Those undecided respondents who then stated a preference for leave or remain after this “squeeze” question responded in line with voters who stated a leave/remain preference in the initial voting question.

Adding back these respondents leaves the headline figure ex undecided voters steady at 57% Remain 43% Leave.

Full data tables for this poll can be viewed here.

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