Election and Referendum voting intention

Survation’s new political poll in Scotland shows the Scottish National Party (SNP) retaining its commanding lead in voting intention for the next general election and Scottish Parliament election – however, on the question of another referendum on Scottish independence, the eight point lead for Yes in our November poll has halved to four points.  Yes now leads in our tracking poll by 52% to 48%.  In November the same question was Yes 54%, No 46%.

Scottish Parliament Voting Intention: Constituency Vote

The SNP retains its commanding lead, on 53%, down 1% from last month, and Labour and the Conservatives on 20% each. Labour is up 2 points from last month and the Conservatives up 1.

Scottish Parliament Voting Intention: Regional List Vote

Similarly for the regional list vote, the SNP has a strong lead, on 41%, down 1% from last month, Labour on 20%, up 1%, and the Conservatives on 18%, also up 1%.

UK General Election Voting Intention in Scotland

The movement for Westminster voter intention is in line with our polling for the Scottish parliament, with the SNP holding a strong lead but down 1 point and Labour (up 1 point) and Conservatives up by 2 points.

Survation polled 1,009, people aged 16+ (18+ for Westminster), resident in Scotland, online, 4-9 December 2020.

Data tables: https://www.survation.com/survation-scotland-political-poll-december-2020-1-3/