Survation conducted the first in a series of weekly telephone polls, with fieldwork 14th-16th November 2019 on behalf of ITV’s Good Morning Britain.

• Sample size: 1010 / Fieldwork dates: 14th-16th November 2019  / Methodology: People aged 18+ living in the UK were interviewed by telephone using a mix of mobile and landline numbers

• Voting prompt: To correctly judge the effect of parties that have stood down candidates, respondents were read out the names of the parties and candidates that are standing in their own constituency

HEADLINE VOTING INTENTION

Thinking about your own constituency and the candidates likely to stand, if the general election were tomorrow, which party would you vote for? (Base: Respondents likely to vote with undecided and refused removed)

Conservative: 42%

Labour: 28%

Liberal Democrat: 13%

The Brexit Party: 5%

Green: 3%

Another party (inc Plaid Cymru and SNP): 9%

DETAIL WITH “ANOTHER PARTY” LISTED

CON 42% LAB 28% LIB 13% BRX 5% GRN 3% SNP 3% PLAID 1% OTHER 4%

Full data tables can be viewed here:

Notes:

The Conservative Party had a larger polling lead over Labour at this point in the campaign in 2017.

Equivalent polling  for Survation / Good Morning Britain* on May 6th 2017 ahead of the election on June 8th 2017 had voting intention figures of:  Conservative: 47% Labour: 30% Liberal Democrat: 7% UKIP 4% Green: 3% Another party  9%

*The Survation / Good Morning Britain polling in 2017 correctly indicated a hung parliament in the final poll.

British Polling Council Statement

All polls are subject to a wide range of potential sources of error. On the basis of the historical record of the polls at recent general elections, there is a 9 in 10 chance that the true value of a party’s support lies within 4 points of the estimates provided by this poll, and a 2 in 3 chance that they lie within 2 points.