Politics, Government & Current Affairs EU

New EU Referendum Poll shows ‘Leave’ Continue to Lead

Our first EU Referendum poll of 2016, on behalf of the Mail on Sunday, shows ‘Leave’ slightly extending its lead over remain since our last poll of 2015.

 

EU Ref VI excluding Undecided (comparisons from 10,000 sample Survation poll, fieldwork 30th Nov – 3rd Dec 2015)

Remain 47% (-2);  Leave 53% (+2)

 

EU Ref VI including Undecided (comparisons from 10,000 sample Survation poll, fieldwork 30th Nov – 3rd Dec 2015)

Remain 38% (-3); Leave 42% (NC); Undecided 21% (+3)

 

EU Ref full size

  • Around one in five (21%) people remain undecided about which way to vote if a referendum was held tomorrow – up 3 percentage points.
  • This is the first time since Survation asked the ‘new’ EU Referendum question that either campaign has held onto its lead from a previous poll.
  • As renegotiations over the UK’s EU membership continue, nearly a third (32%) believe David Cameron is handling renegotiations badly, compared to less than a quarter (24%) who believe he is handling them well.
  • Other questions show whether Boris Johnson & Theresa May could affect the EU Referendum outcome if they lead the ‘Leave’ campaign, and whether Britons think David Cameron should resign as Prime Minister if the UK votes to leave the EU.
  • Survation polled 1,017 GB & NI adults aged 18+ online between 15th – 16th January 2016. Standard margin of error 3.1%.

EU Ref tracker full size

 

Survation polled 1,017 UK adults aged 18+ from the 15th – 16th January 2015. Full data tables for this poll are available here.

 

To find out more about Survation’s services, and how you can conduct a telephone or online poll for your research needs, please visit our services page.

Chris Hopkins

Chris Hopkins

Senior Project Manager

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